Barbell Strategy

Embracing the concept of anti-fragility

Are you familiar with Nassim Taleb’s “Barbell Strategy”?
Yes, the Barbell Strategy is a concept Nassim Taleb introduced in his book "Antifragile: Things That Gain From Disorder," which is designed to help individuals and organisations navigate uncertainty and volatility. Taleb suggests that in situations of high uncertainty and unpredictability, it's best to avoid the middle. This means staying away from investments or strategies that have moderate risk but limited upside, as they can be vulnerable to unexpected events. Taleb’s says we should put 80% into less risk, low reward investments to ensure that you don’t go bankrupt, and then put a small percentage into things where you have a finite knowable downside and where the potential upside can be huge. I think it’s essential you look at them differently, the way you react when you lose money in 20% range should be with “it could happen” eyes. On the other hand, if you lose money in the 80% bracket you should panic, as this investment is not supposed to be losing you money.

 

A large part of business is about being totally logical, consistent, pursuing efficiency, exploiting what you already know, following best practice, etc., etc. I think the Barbell Strategy can be applied to financial investments as well as to various aspects of life, including career choices, personal health, and decision-making. It's a way to thrive in a world where uncertainty and randomness play significant roles.